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Discussion of precise time and frequency measurement

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Re: [time-nuts] CSAC Project(was CSAC purchase)

RH
Ronald Held
Wed, Jan 24, 2018 8:59 PM

Jim:
One around 1s/y, one 6 s/y and one 11 s/y. I was looking to do
better than 1 s/100 years, but that was for the CSAC.
Ronald

1 second/year is quite good - about 30 ppb. It's a bit tricky (like all
things time-nutty) - the "aging" on a TCXO could be that good - but the
instantaneous frequency control might not be that good.  1ppm is pretty
vanilla for a TCXO over a fairly wide temperature range, so 30 ppb at
"constant skin temp" (say, 5 C range) is probably reasonable.

I've got some test data here for some fancy TCXOs intended for space
with a spec of 2ppm aging first year and then 1ppm/year after that.  The
actual aging in the first year was 0.08 ppm, at 70C. Some of the other
oscillators in the lot were 0.02ppm, 0.05ppm.

So, I think the spec here is "covers all the things that can go wrong",
but by cherry  picking, you could do better.

(or, our system design could tolerate several ppm aging over years, and
"run of the mill" for Vectron was actually a lot better)

Jim: One around 1s/y, one 6 s/y and one 11 s/y. I was looking to do better than 1 s/100 years, but that was for the CSAC. Ronald 1 second/year is quite good - about 30 ppb. It's a bit tricky (like all things time-nutty) - the "aging" on a TCXO could be that good - but the instantaneous frequency control might not be that good. 1ppm is pretty vanilla for a TCXO over a fairly wide temperature range, so 30 ppb at "constant skin temp" (say, 5 C range) is probably reasonable. I've got some test data here for some fancy TCXOs intended for space with a spec of 2ppm aging first year and then 1ppm/year after that. The actual aging in the first year was 0.08 ppm, at 70C. Some of the other oscillators in the lot were 0.02ppm, 0.05ppm. So, I think the spec here is "covers all the things that can go wrong", but by cherry picking, you could do better. (or, our system design could tolerate several ppm aging over years, and "run of the mill" for Vectron was actually a lot better)
BK
Bob kb8tq
Wed, Jan 24, 2018 10:19 PM

Hi

The CSAC spec sheet calls out an aging rate of 0.9 ppb per month as
“typical”. There is also a temperature spec of 0.4 ppb. If both are correct
for your sample (and aging is linear ) you would be out by roughly 10 ppb
per year. There also is a voltage stability spec that might be impacted depending
on how you manage power.

Taking the 30 ppb = 1 second number, you are at a 1 second / year rate after 3 years.
At that point, you have already drifted by a second, if the assumptions are correct.
This makes a massive assumption that the aging stays at the “typical” rate
for years. It’s a very good guess that it does not. Is it going to be 1/3 or 1/10
of typical over that period? Who knows.

Bottom line, you are going to be pretty far from 1 second per 100 years with
a CSAC based wrist watch, if it runs for years (or even for months).  It will
do way better than a TCXO or OCXO based watch over months or years.
It’s still not perfect.

Bob

On Jan 24, 2018, at 3:59 PM, Ronald Held ronaldheld@gmail.com wrote:

Jim:
One around 1s/y, one 6 s/y and one 11 s/y. I was looking to do
better than 1 s/100 years, but that was for the CSAC.
Ronald

1 second/year is quite good - about 30 ppb. It's a bit tricky (like all
things time-nutty) - the "aging" on a TCXO could be that good - but the
instantaneous frequency control might not be that good.  1ppm is pretty
vanilla for a TCXO over a fairly wide temperature range, so 30 ppb at
"constant skin temp" (say, 5 C range) is probably reasonable.

I've got some test data here for some fancy TCXOs intended for space
with a spec of 2ppm aging first year and then 1ppm/year after that.  The
actual aging in the first year was 0.08 ppm, at 70C. Some of the other
oscillators in the lot were 0.02ppm, 0.05ppm.

So, I think the spec here is "covers all the things that can go wrong",
but by cherry  picking, you could do better.

(or, our system design could tolerate several ppm aging over years, and
"run of the mill" for Vectron was actually a lot better)


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Hi The CSAC spec sheet calls out an aging rate of 0.9 ppb per month as “typical”. There is also a temperature spec of 0.4 ppb. If both are correct for your sample (*and* aging is linear ) you would be out by roughly 10 ppb per year. There also is a voltage stability spec that might be impacted depending on how you manage power. Taking the 30 ppb = 1 second number, you are at a 1 second / year rate after 3 years. At that point, you have already drifted by a second, if the assumptions are correct. This makes a massive assumption that the aging stays at the “typical” rate for years. It’s a very good guess that it does not. Is it going to be 1/3 or 1/10 of typical over that period? Who knows. Bottom line, you are going to be pretty far from 1 second per 100 years with a CSAC based wrist watch, if it runs for years (or even for months). It *will* do *way* better than a TCXO or OCXO based watch over months or years. It’s still not perfect. Bob > On Jan 24, 2018, at 3:59 PM, Ronald Held <ronaldheld@gmail.com> wrote: > > Jim: > One around 1s/y, one 6 s/y and one 11 s/y. I was looking to do > better than 1 s/100 years, but that was for the CSAC. > Ronald > > > 1 second/year is quite good - about 30 ppb. It's a bit tricky (like all > things time-nutty) - the "aging" on a TCXO could be that good - but the > instantaneous frequency control might not be that good. 1ppm is pretty > vanilla for a TCXO over a fairly wide temperature range, so 30 ppb at > "constant skin temp" (say, 5 C range) is probably reasonable. > > I've got some test data here for some fancy TCXOs intended for space > with a spec of 2ppm aging first year and then 1ppm/year after that. The > actual aging in the first year was 0.08 ppm, at 70C. Some of the other > oscillators in the lot were 0.02ppm, 0.05ppm. > > So, I think the spec here is "covers all the things that can go wrong", > but by cherry picking, you could do better. > > (or, our system design could tolerate several ppm aging over years, and > "run of the mill" for Vectron was actually a lot better) > _______________________________________________ > time-nuts mailing list -- time-nuts@febo.com > To unsubscribe, go to https://www.febo.com/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/time-nuts > and follow the instructions there.
RH
Ronald Held
Thu, Jan 25, 2018 10:47 PM

Nigel;
Will read the PDF carefully.
Ronald

"if it runs for years (or even months)" sounds like an informed comment:-)

When searching for some data recently I came across a report which
might be relevant.

"A Second Look at Chip Scale Atomic Clocks for Long Term Precision
Timing", written by
Alan T. Gardner and John A. Collins of the  Woods Hole Oceanographic
Institution, details their
experience with a number of earlier and more recent CSAC modules and
their findings make
for very interesting reading.

At the time of writing a copy is available here....

www.obsip.org/documents/Gardner_IEEE_Oceans_2016.pdf

Tim:
Only three times worst then CSACs?
Ronald

y those Woods Hole guys.

Their temperature-compensated 5 milliwatt crystal oscillators can be
back-corrected (linear drift model) to a few tens of milliseconds over a
year and they make a convincing case they know how to do this.

Their similar graphs for CSAC oscillators are maybe a factor of three
better.

Tim N3QE

Bob:
Does it make sense to reset yearly if the offset is milliseconds?  Tenths?
Ronald

Actually it was not quite what it sounded like. What I was trying to
say was “free runs”
for years or even months. Any device that is re-calibrated will have
the aging drift zeroed
out in that process. As noted in another post, CSAC’s have gone
through some growing
pains. The Woods Hole paper came out sort of at a low point in the process. The
current crop of CSAC parts seem to be more reliable than the ones Woods Hole
reported on. I’ve seen failures over the years, but not a lot of them ….

Bob

Tom:
That PDF was interesting.  Not certain I would've one.
Ronald

Also see the very nice presentation:

"Challenges of precise timing underwater"
http://www.ipgp.fr/~crawford/2017_EuroOBS_workshop/Resources/Gardner_OBS_Timing_ATG_20150427.pdf

/tvb

Nigel; Will read the PDF carefully. Ronald "if it runs for years (or even months)" sounds like an informed comment:-) When searching for some data recently I came across a report which might be relevant. "A Second Look at Chip Scale Atomic Clocks for Long Term Precision Timing", written by Alan T. Gardner and John A. Collins of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, details their experience with a number of earlier and more recent CSAC modules and their findings make for very interesting reading. At the time of writing a copy is available here.... www.obsip.org/documents/Gardner_IEEE_Oceans_2016.pdf Tim: Only three times worst then CSACs? Ronald y those Woods Hole guys. Their temperature-compensated 5 milliwatt crystal oscillators can be back-corrected (linear drift model) to a few tens of milliseconds over a year and they make a convincing case they know how to do this. Their similar graphs for CSAC oscillators are maybe a factor of three better. Tim N3QE Bob: Does it make sense to reset yearly if the offset is milliseconds? Tenths? Ronald Actually it was not quite what it sounded like. What I was trying to say was “free runs” for years or even months. Any device that is re-calibrated will have the aging drift zeroed out in that process. As noted in another post, CSAC’s have gone through some growing pains. The Woods Hole paper came out sort of at a low point in the process. The current crop of CSAC parts seem to be more reliable than the ones Woods Hole reported on. I’ve seen failures over the years, but not a lot of them …. Bob Tom: That PDF was interesting. Not certain I would've one. Ronald > www.obsip.org/documents/Gardner_IEEE_Oceans_2016.pdf Also see the very nice presentation: "Challenges of precise timing underwater" http://www.ipgp.fr/~crawford/2017_EuroOBS_workshop/Resources/Gardner_OBS_Timing_ATG_20150427.pdf /tvb
BK
Bob kb8tq
Thu, Jan 25, 2018 11:11 PM

Hi

On Jan 25, 2018, at 5:47 PM, Ronald Held ronaldheld@gmail.com wrote:

Nigel;
Will read the PDF carefully.
Ronald

"if it runs for years (or even months)" sounds like an informed comment:-)

When searching for some data recently I came across a report which
might be relevant.

"A Second Look at Chip Scale Atomic Clocks for Long Term Precision
Timing", written by
Alan T. Gardner and John A. Collins of the  Woods Hole Oceanographic
Institution, details their
experience with a number of earlier and more recent CSAC modules and
their findings make
for very interesting reading.

At the time of writing a copy is available here....

www.obsip.org/documents/Gardner_IEEE_Oceans_2016.pdf

Tim:
Only three times worst then CSACs?
Ronald

y those Woods Hole guys.

Their temperature-compensated 5 milliwatt crystal oscillators can be
back-corrected (linear drift model) to a few tens of milliseconds over a
year and they make a convincing case they know how to do this.

Their similar graphs for CSAC oscillators are maybe a factor of three
better.

Tim N3QE

Bob:
Does it make sense to reset yearly if the offset is milliseconds?  Tenths?
Ronald

If you don’t correct the frequency offset, then you ultimately have a device
that is off by quite a bit per year. The key here is that it is frequency (and not time)
error. Once you get a significant frequency error, the amount of time you gain or loose
goes up. You no longer are in a 0.1 second region, you are now into a “second per
year” sort of situation.

Some math:

If the CSAC is at zero frequency error at the start of the year and drifts by 10 ppb
over that year, you have an average error of 5 ppb. Keeping things simple, you get
1/6 second error that year. (5 / 30 = 1/6).

If three years later, the CSAC is at 30 ppb and drifts another 10 ppb in frequency,
you now are at 35 ppb average frequency error. You will gain / loose more than a
second in that year.

The real numbers are slightly different. You need to look at when over the year the
aging happens. A device that ages a lot early on in the year will do worse than a
device that ages linearly over the year. A device that does all it’s aging only on the
last day would do better than either of the other cases.

Bottom line:

Your CSAC wrist watch is very much not a millisecond per year sort of device.
Best guess is it is in the 50 to 150 ms per year vicinity in the first year after calibration.
Based on previous posts, that is in the same vicinity as a WWVB sync’d wrist
watch and not quite as good as an typical Apple Watch.

Bob

Actually it was not quite what it sounded like. What I was trying to
say was “free runs”
for years or even months. Any device that is re-calibrated will have
the aging drift zeroed
out in that process. As noted in another post, CSAC’s have gone
through some growing
pains. The Woods Hole paper came out sort of at a low point in the process. The
current crop of CSAC parts seem to be more reliable than the ones Woods Hole
reported on. I’ve seen failures over the years, but not a lot of them ….

Bob

Tom:
That PDF was interesting.  Not certain I would've one.
Ronald

Also see the very nice presentation:

"Challenges of precise timing underwater"
http://www.ipgp.fr/~crawford/2017_EuroOBS_workshop/Resources/Gardner_OBS_Timing_ATG_20150427.pdf

/tvb


time-nuts mailing list -- time-nuts@febo.com
To unsubscribe, go to https://www.febo.com/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/time-nuts
and follow the instructions there.

Hi > On Jan 25, 2018, at 5:47 PM, Ronald Held <ronaldheld@gmail.com> wrote: > > Nigel; > Will read the PDF carefully. > Ronald > > > "if it runs for years (or even months)" sounds like an informed comment:-) > > When searching for some data recently I came across a report which > might be relevant. > > "A Second Look at Chip Scale Atomic Clocks for Long Term Precision > Timing", written by > Alan T. Gardner and John A. Collins of the Woods Hole Oceanographic > Institution, details their > experience with a number of earlier and more recent CSAC modules and > their findings make > for very interesting reading. > > At the time of writing a copy is available here.... > > www.obsip.org/documents/Gardner_IEEE_Oceans_2016.pdf > > > Tim: > Only three times worst then CSACs? > Ronald > > > y those Woods Hole guys. > > Their temperature-compensated 5 milliwatt crystal oscillators can be > back-corrected (linear drift model) to a few tens of milliseconds over a > year and they make a convincing case they know how to do this. > > Their similar graphs for CSAC oscillators are maybe a factor of three > better. > > Tim N3QE > > Bob: > Does it make sense to reset yearly if the offset is milliseconds? Tenths? > Ronald If you *don’t* correct the *frequency* offset, then you ultimately have a device that is off by quite a bit per year. The key here is that it is frequency (and not time) error. Once you get a significant frequency error, the amount of time you gain or loose goes up. You no longer are in a 0.1 second region, you are now into a “second per year” sort of situation. Some math: If the CSAC is at zero frequency error at the start of the year and drifts by 10 ppb over that year, you have an average error of 5 ppb. Keeping things simple, you get 1/6 second error that year. (5 / 30 = 1/6). If three years later, the CSAC is at 30 ppb and drifts another 10 ppb in frequency, you now are at 35 ppb average frequency error. You will gain / loose more than a second in that year. The real numbers are slightly different. You need to look at when over the year the aging happens. A device that ages a lot early on in the year will do worse than a device that ages linearly over the year. A device that does all it’s aging only on the last day would do better than either of the other cases. Bottom line: Your CSAC wrist watch is very much *not* a millisecond per year sort of device. Best guess is it is in the 50 to 150 ms per year vicinity in the first year after calibration. Based on previous posts, that is in the same vicinity as a WWVB sync’d wrist watch and not quite as good as an typical Apple Watch. Bob > > > Actually it was not quite what it sounded like. What I was trying to > say was “free runs” > for years or even months. Any device that is re-calibrated will have > the aging drift zeroed > out in that process. As noted in another post, CSAC’s have gone > through some growing > pains. The Woods Hole paper came out sort of at a low point in the process. The > current crop of CSAC parts seem to be more reliable than the ones Woods Hole > reported on. I’ve seen failures over the years, but not a lot of them …. > > Bob > > > Tom: > That PDF was interesting. Not certain I would've one. > Ronald > > >> www.obsip.org/documents/Gardner_IEEE_Oceans_2016.pdf > > Also see the very nice presentation: > > "Challenges of precise timing underwater" > http://www.ipgp.fr/~crawford/2017_EuroOBS_workshop/Resources/Gardner_OBS_Timing_ATG_20150427.pdf > > /tvb > _______________________________________________ > time-nuts mailing list -- time-nuts@febo.com > To unsubscribe, go to https://www.febo.com/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/time-nuts > and follow the instructions there.
RH
Ronald Held
Thu, Jan 25, 2018 11:28 PM

Jim;
No need to order in the spring or fall anymore?  Looking forward
to your data.
Ronald

no kidding - there's a well known issue when MicroSemi took over
building CSACs from Symmetricom, these things (like many precision
timing widgets) have a "recipe" and it's easy to "lose the recipe" or
find that there's unexpected and unknown components to the recipe.

Take a look at data sheet revs for the CSAC.. full temp range, then all
of a sudden around rev G or H, temperature range is quoted at 0-35C
operating, 0-40C non-op.  I asked the sales rep if they ship them with
icepacks in styrofoam like mail order cheese in the summer - that UPS
truck gets way over 40C inside.

As always, this was discussed on the list and is in the archives.

That being said, I have no complaints about Microsemi being forthcoming

about the issue and helping us to understand the nature of the problem.
And they claim to have fixed the problem.

Hopefully, this summer, I'll have some data from a "narrow temp range"
CSAC against GPS 1pps in an environment where there's no gravitational
effects, and fairly small temperature fluctuations.

Bob:
Maybe I benefited a little by not buying a few years ago?
Ronald

Just to be clear, the current data sheet has the temperature range back to
-10 to +70C. They most certainly had a major headache on their hands for
several years straightening things out. I have not seen any complaints about
the “new” (post rework) version of the part.

Bob

Aaaas

Jim; No need to order in the spring or fall anymore? Looking forward to your data. Ronald no kidding - there's a well known issue when MicroSemi took over building CSACs from Symmetricom, these things (like many precision timing widgets) have a "recipe" and it's easy to "lose the recipe" or find that there's unexpected and unknown components to the recipe. Take a look at data sheet revs for the CSAC.. full temp range, then all of a sudden around rev G or H, temperature range is quoted at 0-35C operating, *0-40C non-op*. I asked the sales rep if they ship them with icepacks in styrofoam like mail order cheese in the summer - that UPS truck gets way over 40C inside. As always, this was discussed on the list and is in the archives. That being said, I have no complaints about Microsemi being forthcoming about the issue and helping us to understand the nature of the problem. And they claim to have fixed the problem. Hopefully, this summer, I'll have some data from a "narrow temp range" CSAC against GPS 1pps in an environment where there's no gravitational effects, and fairly small temperature fluctuations. Bob: Maybe I benefited a little by not buying a few years ago? Ronald Just to be clear, the current data sheet has the temperature range back to -10 to +70C. They most certainly had a major headache on their hands for several years straightening things out. I have not seen any complaints about the “new” (post rework) version of the part. Bob Aaaas
J
jimlux
Fri, Jan 26, 2018 1:47 AM

On 1/25/18 3:28 PM, Ronald Held wrote:

Jim;
No need to order in the spring or fall anymore?  Looking forward
to your data.
Ronald

you and me, and a bunch of other folks as well

On 1/25/18 3:28 PM, Ronald Held wrote: > Jim; > No need to order in the spring or fall anymore? Looking forward > to your data. > Ronald > you and me, and a bunch of other folks as well
RH
Ronald Held
Fri, Jan 26, 2018 12:19 PM

Bob:
Sounds reasonable.  You suggest to let it age a year and reset
often during the year?
No way to compensate for a linear frequency drift?
Ronald

If you don’t correct the frequency offset, then you ultimately
have a device
that is off by quite a bit per year. The key here is that it is
frequency (and not time)
error. Once you get a significant frequency error, the amount of time
you gain or loose
goes up. You no longer are in a 0.1 second region, you are now into a
“second per
year” sort of situation.

Some math:

If the CSAC is at zero frequency error at the start of the year and
drifts by 10 ppb
over that year, you have an average error of 5 ppb. Keeping things
simple, you get
1/6 second error that year. (5 / 30 = 1/6).

If three years later, the CSAC is at 30 ppb and drifts another 10 ppb
in frequency,
you now are at 35 ppb average frequency error. You will gain / loose
more than a
second in that year.

The real numbers are slightly different. You need to look at when
over the year the
aging happens. A device that ages a lot early on in the year will do
worse than a
device that ages linearly over the year. A device that does all it’s
aging only on the
last day would do better than either of the other cases.

Bottom line:

Your CSAC wrist watch is very much not a millisecond per year sort of device.
Best guess is it is in the 50 to 150 ms per year vicinity in the
first year after calibration.
Based on previous posts, that is in the same vicinity as a WWVB sync’d wrist
watch and not quite as good as an typical Apple Watch.

Bob

Jim:
Likely wait for your data before ordering one.  Too bad the chip
price is so high, compared to a few years ago.
Ronald

Bob: Sounds reasonable. You suggest to let it age a year and reset often during the year? No way to compensate for a linear frequency drift? Ronald If you *don’t* correct the *frequency* offset, then you ultimately have a device that is off by quite a bit per year. The key here is that it is frequency (and not time) error. Once you get a significant frequency error, the amount of time you gain or loose goes up. You no longer are in a 0.1 second region, you are now into a “second per year” sort of situation. Some math: If the CSAC is at zero frequency error at the start of the year and drifts by 10 ppb over that year, you have an average error of 5 ppb. Keeping things simple, you get 1/6 second error that year. (5 / 30 = 1/6). If three years later, the CSAC is at 30 ppb and drifts another 10 ppb in frequency, you now are at 35 ppb average frequency error. You will gain / loose more than a second in that year. The real numbers are slightly different. You need to look at when over the year the aging happens. A device that ages a lot early on in the year will do worse than a device that ages linearly over the year. A device that does all it’s aging only on the last day would do better than either of the other cases. Bottom line: Your CSAC wrist watch is very much *not* a millisecond per year sort of device. Best guess is it is in the 50 to 150 ms per year vicinity in the first year after calibration. Based on previous posts, that is in the same vicinity as a WWVB sync’d wrist watch and not quite as good as an typical Apple Watch. Bob Jim: Likely wait for your data before ordering one. Too bad the chip price is so high, compared to a few years ago. Ronald
BK
Bob kb8tq
Fri, Jan 26, 2018 3:00 PM

Hi

The CSAC (like any vapor cell standard) has a drift (aging) process. That’s
just the way it works. It is at a much lower rate than a crystal oscillator, but
it is the same sort of idea. It is one of their basic differences from a Cesium
beam tube.

Can you “estimate” aging in advance? Everything I’ve seen suggests that you
are simply guessing when you do. You will be right in some cases and wrong in
other cases. You can do better estimating warmup drift and short term effects.
Working out what will happen over months (or years) is not very easy.

A very basic example:

I observe a couple of units and they all go positive by 0.8 ppb / mo. I put in
some code to work with that. The unit I happen to have goes 0.8 ppb negative
a month. My code has actually made the unit 2X worse than it would have
been if I just stayed away from it.

Yes there are papers on aging estimation. They mainly focus on coming up
with a “worst case” number. If they guess that 0.8 ppb will go on forever and
it drops off a bit from there, they did ok. For correction purposes … not so much.

On a practical basis, you will have to dock this beast up with a charger on
a regular basis. A solar powered WWVB watch is not unusual. A solar powered
Apple watch or CSAC watch … not so much. When it goes to the charger,
sync it up with GPS.

Bob

On Jan 26, 2018, at 7:19 AM, Ronald Held ronaldheld@gmail.com wrote:

Bob:
Sounds reasonable.  You suggest to let it age a year and reset
often during the year?
No way to compensate for a linear frequency drift?
Ronald

If you don’t correct the frequency offset, then you ultimately
have a device
that is off by quite a bit per year. The key here is that it is
frequency (and not time)
error. Once you get a significant frequency error, the amount of time
you gain or loose
goes up. You no longer are in a 0.1 second region, you are now into a
“second per
year” sort of situation.

Some math:

If the CSAC is at zero frequency error at the start of the year and
drifts by 10 ppb
over that year, you have an average error of 5 ppb. Keeping things
simple, you get
1/6 second error that year. (5 / 30 = 1/6).

If three years later, the CSAC is at 30 ppb and drifts another 10 ppb
in frequency,
you now are at 35 ppb average frequency error. You will gain / loose
more than a
second in that year.

The real numbers are slightly different. You need to look at when
over the year the
aging happens. A device that ages a lot early on in the year will do
worse than a
device that ages linearly over the year. A device that does all it’s
aging only on the
last day would do better than either of the other cases.

Bottom line:

Your CSAC wrist watch is very much not a millisecond per year sort of device.
Best guess is it is in the 50 to 150 ms per year vicinity in the
first year after calibration.
Based on previous posts, that is in the same vicinity as a WWVB sync’d wrist
watch and not quite as good as an typical Apple Watch.

Bob

Jim:
Likely wait for your data before ordering one.  Too bad the chip
price is so high, compared to a few years ago.
Ronald


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Hi The CSAC (like any vapor cell standard) has a drift (aging) process. That’s just the way it works. It is at a *much* lower rate than a crystal oscillator, but it is the same sort of idea. It is one of their basic differences from a Cesium beam tube. Can you “estimate” aging in advance? Everything I’ve seen suggests that you are simply guessing when you do. You will be right in some cases and wrong in other cases. You can do better estimating warmup drift and short term effects. Working out what will happen over months (or years) is not very easy. A *very* basic example: I observe a couple of units and they all go positive by 0.8 ppb / mo. I put in some code to work with that. The unit I happen to have goes 0.8 ppb negative a month. My code has actually made the unit 2X worse than it would have been if I just stayed away from it. Yes there are papers on aging estimation. They mainly focus on coming up with a “worst case” number. If they guess that 0.8 ppb will go on forever and it drops off a bit from there, they did ok. For correction purposes … not so much. On a practical basis, you *will* have to dock this beast up with a charger on a regular basis. A solar powered WWVB watch is not unusual. A solar powered Apple watch or CSAC watch … not so much. When it goes to the charger, sync it up with GPS. Bob > On Jan 26, 2018, at 7:19 AM, Ronald Held <ronaldheld@gmail.com> wrote: > > Bob: > Sounds reasonable. You suggest to let it age a year and reset > often during the year? > No way to compensate for a linear frequency drift? > Ronald > > > If you *don’t* correct the *frequency* offset, then you ultimately > have a device > that is off by quite a bit per year. The key here is that it is > frequency (and not time) > error. Once you get a significant frequency error, the amount of time > you gain or loose > goes up. You no longer are in a 0.1 second region, you are now into a > “second per > year” sort of situation. > > Some math: > > If the CSAC is at zero frequency error at the start of the year and > drifts by 10 ppb > over that year, you have an average error of 5 ppb. Keeping things > simple, you get > 1/6 second error that year. (5 / 30 = 1/6). > > If three years later, the CSAC is at 30 ppb and drifts another 10 ppb > in frequency, > you now are at 35 ppb average frequency error. You will gain / loose > more than a > second in that year. > > The real numbers are slightly different. You need to look at when > over the year the > aging happens. A device that ages a lot early on in the year will do > worse than a > device that ages linearly over the year. A device that does all it’s > aging only on the > last day would do better than either of the other cases. > > Bottom line: > > Your CSAC wrist watch is very much *not* a millisecond per year sort of device. > Best guess is it is in the 50 to 150 ms per year vicinity in the > first year after calibration. > Based on previous posts, that is in the same vicinity as a WWVB sync’d wrist > watch and not quite as good as an typical Apple Watch. > > Bob > > > Jim: > Likely wait for your data before ordering one. Too bad the chip > price is so high, compared to a few years ago. > Ronald > _______________________________________________ > time-nuts mailing list -- time-nuts@febo.com > To unsubscribe, go to https://www.febo.com/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/time-nuts > and follow the instructions there.
RH
Ronald Held
Fri, Jan 26, 2018 7:12 PM

Bob:
Interesting that drift rate has a stocastic component.
You mentioned adding code.  Was that to the software that comes
with the chip?
Ronald

Hi

The CSAC (like any vapor cell standard) has a drift (aging) process. That’s
just the way it works. It is at a much lower rate than a crystal
oscillator, but
it is the same sort of idea. It is one of their basic differences from a Cesium
beam tube.

Can you “estimate” aging in advance? Everything I’ve seen suggests that you
are simply guessing when you do. You will be right in some cases and wrong in
other cases. You can do better estimating warmup drift and short term effects.
Working out what will happen over months (or years) is not very easy.

A very basic example:

I observe a couple of units and they all go positive by 0.8 ppb / mo. I put in
some code to work with that. The unit I happen to have goes 0.8 ppb negative
a month. My code has actually made the unit 2X worse than it would have
been if I just stayed away from it.

Yes there are papers on aging estimation. They mainly focus on coming up
with a “worst case” number. If they guess that 0.8 ppb will go on forever and
it drops off a bit from there, they did ok. For correction purposes …
not so much.

On a practical basis, you will have to dock this beast up with a charger on
a regular basis. A solar powered WWVB watch is not unusual. A solar powered
Apple watch or CSAC watch … not so much. When it goes to the charger,
sync it up with GPS.

Bob

Bob: Interesting that drift rate has a stocastic component. You mentioned adding code. Was that to the software that comes with the chip? Ronald Hi The CSAC (like any vapor cell standard) has a drift (aging) process. That’s just the way it works. It is at a *much* lower rate than a crystal oscillator, but it is the same sort of idea. It is one of their basic differences from a Cesium beam tube. Can you “estimate” aging in advance? Everything I’ve seen suggests that you are simply guessing when you do. You will be right in some cases and wrong in other cases. You can do better estimating warmup drift and short term effects. Working out what will happen over months (or years) is not very easy. A *very* basic example: I observe a couple of units and they all go positive by 0.8 ppb / mo. I put in some code to work with that. The unit I happen to have goes 0.8 ppb negative a month. My code has actually made the unit 2X worse than it would have been if I just stayed away from it. Yes there are papers on aging estimation. They mainly focus on coming up with a “worst case” number. If they guess that 0.8 ppb will go on forever and it drops off a bit from there, they did ok. For correction purposes … not so much. On a practical basis, you *will* have to dock this beast up with a charger on a regular basis. A solar powered WWVB watch is not unusual. A solar powered Apple watch or CSAC watch … not so much. When it goes to the charger, sync it up with GPS. Bob
BK
Bob kb8tq
Fri, Jan 26, 2018 7:17 PM

Hi

One way or the other you will need some “smarts” to do aging compensation.
That implies adding a CPU of some sort to the “system” you are building. There
is no built in subsystem on the CSAC that will do any of this for you. You also
need some sort of display for your “wrist watch”. Having the CPU handle that
at the same time makes a lot of sense.

Bob

On Jan 26, 2018, at 2:12 PM, Ronald Held ronaldheld@gmail.com wrote:

Bob:
Interesting that drift rate has a stocastic component.
You mentioned adding code.  Was that to the software that comes
with the chip?
Ronald

Hi

The CSAC (like any vapor cell standard) has a drift (aging) process. That’s
just the way it works. It is at a much lower rate than a crystal
oscillator, but
it is the same sort of idea. It is one of their basic differences from a Cesium
beam tube.

Can you “estimate” aging in advance? Everything I’ve seen suggests that you
are simply guessing when you do. You will be right in some cases and wrong in
other cases. You can do better estimating warmup drift and short term effects.
Working out what will happen over months (or years) is not very easy.

A very basic example:

I observe a couple of units and they all go positive by 0.8 ppb / mo. I put in
some code to work with that. The unit I happen to have goes 0.8 ppb negative
a month. My code has actually made the unit 2X worse than it would have
been if I just stayed away from it.

Yes there are papers on aging estimation. They mainly focus on coming up
with a “worst case” number. If they guess that 0.8 ppb will go on forever and
it drops off a bit from there, they did ok. For correction purposes …
not so much.

On a practical basis, you will have to dock this beast up with a charger on
a regular basis. A solar powered WWVB watch is not unusual. A solar powered
Apple watch or CSAC watch … not so much. When it goes to the charger,
sync it up with GPS.

Bob


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Hi One way or the other you will need some “smarts” to do aging compensation. That implies adding a CPU of some sort to the “system” you are building. There is no built in subsystem on the CSAC that will do any of this for you. You also need some sort of display for your “wrist watch”. Having the CPU handle that at the same time makes a lot of sense. Bob > On Jan 26, 2018, at 2:12 PM, Ronald Held <ronaldheld@gmail.com> wrote: > > Bob: > Interesting that drift rate has a stocastic component. > You mentioned adding code. Was that to the software that comes > with the chip? > Ronald > > > Hi > > The CSAC (like any vapor cell standard) has a drift (aging) process. That’s > just the way it works. It is at a *much* lower rate than a crystal > oscillator, but > it is the same sort of idea. It is one of their basic differences from a Cesium > beam tube. > > Can you “estimate” aging in advance? Everything I’ve seen suggests that you > are simply guessing when you do. You will be right in some cases and wrong in > other cases. You can do better estimating warmup drift and short term effects. > Working out what will happen over months (or years) is not very easy. > > A *very* basic example: > > I observe a couple of units and they all go positive by 0.8 ppb / mo. I put in > some code to work with that. The unit I happen to have goes 0.8 ppb negative > a month. My code has actually made the unit 2X worse than it would have > been if I just stayed away from it. > > Yes there are papers on aging estimation. They mainly focus on coming up > with a “worst case” number. If they guess that 0.8 ppb will go on forever and > it drops off a bit from there, they did ok. For correction purposes … > not so much. > > On a practical basis, you *will* have to dock this beast up with a charger on > a regular basis. A solar powered WWVB watch is not unusual. A solar powered > Apple watch or CSAC watch … not so much. When it goes to the charger, > sync it up with GPS. > > Bob > _______________________________________________ > time-nuts mailing list -- time-nuts@febo.com > To unsubscribe, go to https://www.febo.com/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/time-nuts > and follow the instructions there.